Circulating Tumor DNA Assessment for Treatment Monitoring Adds Value to PSA in Metastatic Castration-Resistant Prostate Cancer

PURPOSE: Enzalutamide after abiraterone progression is commonly used in metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer despite a low rate of clinical benefit. Analyzing IMbassador250, a phase III trial assessing enzalutamide with or without atezolizumab after abiraterone, we hypothesized that baseline and early changes in circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) tumor fraction (TF) may identify patients more likely to exhibit survival benefit from enzalutamide. EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN: ctDNA was quantified from plasma samples using a tissue-agnostic assay without buffy coat sequencing. Baseline ctDNA TF, changes in ctDNA TF from baseline to cycle 3 day 1 (C3D1), and detection at C3D1 alone were compared with overall response rate, radiographic progression-free survival (rPFS), median OS (mOS), and 50% reduction in PSA. RESULTS: ctDNA TF detection at baseline and/or C3D1 was associated with shorter rPFS and OS in 494 evaluable patients. Detection of ctDNA TF at C3D1, with or without detection at cycle 1 day 1, was associated with worse rPFS and mOS than lack of detection. When ctDNA TF and PSA response at C3D1 were discordant, patients with (ctDNA TF undetected/PSA not reduced) had more favorable outcomes than (ctDNA TF detected/PSA reduced; mOS 22.1 vs. 16 months; P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS: In a large cohort of patients with metastatic castration-resistant prostate cancer receiving enzalutamide after abiraterone, we demonstrate the utility of a new tissue-agnostic assay for monitoring molecular response based on ctDNA TF detection and dynamics. ctDNA TF provides a minimally invasive, complementary biomarker to PSA testing and may refine personalized treatment approaches.